Perhaps one of the most important of these reasons is an inner sense, a realistic feeling of the effectiveness of the meaning and content; so I want to share with you the knowledge of what is the decision A decision is an act in order to move, that is, change, from the current state to a better one.
Therefore, we must realize together the types of decision-making, which are as follows:
Stereotypical thinking
Stereotypical thinking Traditional thinking in decision-making: problems appear as a result of stereotypical thinking in One direction One way/ One track without taking into account feedback.
System Thinking in decision – making: it helps to acquire a number of knowledge and skills for thinking systemically or non-linear thinking that helps to understand the behavior of complex systems, as it takes into account the interactions and interrelations between the parts of the system, feedback, causal Cause and Effect relationships, and their impact on modifying the behavior of the model.
It is certain that decision-making is greatly influenced by the current/ surrounding environment, so we had to be aware of the environmental situations of decision-making, which are as follows:
A decision within a state of certainty.
A decision within the risk situation.
A decision within a state of ambiguity.
Increased uncertainty
Therefore, we can draw the following conclusions:
Historically, most decisions were made within the risk situation, now the uncertainty situation is increasing.
The rapid change in the economy, society, science and technology that ask the mind many questions and do not give it much time to answer them.
Changes that are rapidly pushing towards the abolition of borders, fences, sovereignty and the melting of the separations between the internal and external environment.
The concept of foresight
And then we find ourselves facing an important and urgent question: What is the concept of foresight
A participatory organization process that gives way to human creativity, in which information affecting the future of a particular issue is collected in order to conceptualize various future scenarios with the aim of influencing or creating the future.
It is worth noting that future studies never provide a certain picture of the future, nor do they provide a single future, they provide a number of alternative future scenarios, some of which are possible, some of which are possible, and others are desirable.
Future studies
Therefore, we find that the main purpose of future studies is to provide a long-term time frame for what we may take from today’s decisions and provide a long-term future dimension on the thinking of decision makers, moving from assuming one future and planning to deal with it to assuming several possible futures and preparing to deal with all of them. And it’s remarkable now.. Do we find it necessary and important to foresee the future And the answer, of course, is yes.
Therefore, the importance of practicing foresight lies at all personal, organizational, social and political levels, as it gives a perception of The Shape of the expected future, and the development of planned strategies at many levels, namely:
Setting personal and professional goals
Personal level: helps the individual to define his personal and professional goals, enrich mental models and stories about the future, provides him with knowledge that enables him to plan properly, and work to achieve his goals.
Organizational level: organizations need foresight to increase their ability to be aware of contracts related to future change, and to face expected risks. The social level supports the foresight of the future in the process of government policy-making, and the better expectation of future changes.
Political level: governments resort to foresight in the process of planning policies based on forecasting.
If this is the case in knowing the importance of future foresight, may we know what are the tools of Future Foresight.
Foresight tools are used to estimate possible sudden and complex developments, and analyze them to enrich the science of Decision-Making, Of course, one of the most important foresight tools used to estimate sudden developments and analyze them to make the right decisions is the following:
Trend projection: this method starts on the currently available facts and then predicts future events based on these facts, as this method helps to determine the starting point.
Expected scenarios
Blitz visualization: it is a blitz visualization, then the development of expected scenarios, and the presentation of simple and realistic alternatives.
Taking the point of view of the individual: some questions are asked to the individual to turn the matter into reality, think ahead through his desires and behaviors with others, avoiding science fiction. And modern technologies.
Awareness of what is happening: depends on the extent of awareness to look for and search for indicators indicating current changes and their expected impact in the future, or develop indicators of change through exploration.
And let’s talk the rest about the models of foresight of the future.
Perhaps one of the most important of these reasons is an inner sense, a realistic feeling of the effectiveness of the meaning and content; so I want to share with you the knowledge of what is the decision A decision is an act in order to move, that is, change, from the current state to a better one.
Therefore, we must realize together the types of decision-making, which are as follows:
Stereotypical thinking
Stereotypical thinking Traditional thinking in decision-making: problems appear as a result of stereotypical thinking in One direction One way/ One track without taking into account feedback.
System Thinking in decision – making: it helps to acquire a number of knowledge and skills for thinking systemically or non-linear thinking that helps to understand the behavior of complex systems, as it takes into account the interactions and interrelations between the parts of the system, feedback, causal Cause and Effect relationships, and their impact on modifying the behavior of the model.
It is certain that decision-making is greatly influenced by the current/ surrounding environment, so we had to be aware of the environmental situations of decision-making, which are as follows:
A decision within a state of certainty.
A decision within the risk situation.
A decision within a state of ambiguity.
Increased uncertainty
Therefore, we can draw the following conclusions:
Historically, most decisions were made within the risk situation, now the uncertainty situation is increasing.
The rapid change in the economy, society, science and technology that ask the mind many questions and do not give it much time to answer them.
Changes that are rapidly pushing towards the abolition of borders, fences, sovereignty and the melting of the separations between the internal and external environment.
The concept of foresight
And then we find ourselves facing an important and urgent question: What is the concept of foresight
A participatory organization process that gives way to human creativity, in which information affecting the future of a particular issue is collected in order to conceptualize various future scenarios with the aim of influencing or creating the future.
It is worth noting that future studies never provide a certain picture of the future, nor do they provide a single future, they provide a number of alternative future scenarios, some of which are possible, some of which are possible, and others are desirable.
Future studies
Therefore, we find that the main purpose of future studies is to provide a long-term time frame for what we may take from today’s decisions and provide a long-term future dimension on the thinking of decision makers, moving from assuming one future and planning to deal with it to assuming several possible futures and preparing to deal with all of them. And it’s remarkable now.. Do we find it necessary and important to foresee the future And the answer, of course, is yes.
Therefore, the importance of practicing foresight lies at all personal, organizational, social and political levels, as it gives a perception of The Shape of the expected future, and the development of planned strategies at many levels, namely:
Setting personal and professional goals
Personal level: helps the individual to define his personal and professional goals, enrich mental models and stories about the future, provides him with knowledge that enables him to plan properly, and work to achieve his goals.
Organizational level: organizations need foresight to increase their ability to be aware of contracts related to future change, and to face expected risks. The social level supports the foresight of the future in the process of government policy-making, and the better expectation of future changes.
Political level: governments resort to foresight in the process of planning policies based on forecasting.
If this is the case in knowing the importance of future foresight, may we know what are the tools of Future Foresight.
Foresight tools are used to estimate possible sudden and complex developments, and analyze them to enrich the science of Decision-Making, Of course, one of the most important foresight tools used to estimate sudden developments and analyze them to make the right decisions is the following:
Trend projection: this method starts on the currently available facts and then predicts future events based on these facts, as this method helps to determine the starting point.
Expected scenarios
Blitz visualization: it is a blitz visualization, then the development of expected scenarios, and the presentation of simple and realistic alternatives.
Taking the point of view of the individual: some questions are asked to the individual to turn the matter into reality, think ahead through his desires and behaviors with others, avoiding science fiction. And modern technologies.
Awareness of what is happening: depends on the extent of awareness to look for and search for indicators indicating current changes and their expected impact in the future, or develop indicators of change through exploration.
And let’s talk the rest about the models of foresight of the future.